Author: BondWatch Editorial

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2025 Global Market Outlook: Navigating Inflation, Trade Tensions, and Diverging Growth

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This article summarizes key insights from four leading institutions on the 2025 global market outlook. J.P. Morgan, Deutsche Bank, UOB, and Allianz Trade have all revised their 2025 global economic forecasts, reflecting a moderation in growth expectations due to persistent inflation, geopolitical uncertainties, and elevated market volatility. J.P. Morgan anticipates strong global growth, supported by U.S. exceptionalism and a resilient dollar, while maintaining a constructive view on credit and equities, but a bearish stance on oil and base metals.

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Research

Gold’s Ascent: Strategic Forecasts Signal Continued Surge Amid Global Uncertainty

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Updated: Monday, April 28, 2025 Goldman Sachs forecasts gold at $3,700/oz, UBS sees strong support above $2,500, and HSBC lifts targets amid intensifying geopolitical risks. Summary: Goldman Sachs, UBS, and HSBC have all raised their 2025 gold price forecasts, reflecting a consensus on gold’s bullish trajectory driven by geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, and robust central…...

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Market & Trading

Market Pulse: How Top Institutions Are Positioning for the Post-Tariff Economy

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1. Executive Summary:  In April 2025, major financial institutions observed a complex economic landscape marked by resilient consumer spending, declining industrial production, and volatile commodity markets. While retail sales and housing starts indicated strength, a downturn in industrial output raised concerns. Institutions like BlackRock, J.P. Morgan, Wells Fargo, and U.S. Bank provided varied analyses, reflecting…...

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Investment Themes Research

Oil in 2025: Markets Brace for Geopolitical Whiplash and Demand Headwinds

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HSBC lowers Brent forecasts amid trade frictions, UBS sees volatility ahead, and Goldman Sachs warns of geopolitical tremors shaping oil price risks. Summary: This article consolidates the latest oil price forecasts and market assessments from HSBC, UBS, and Goldman Sachs. Key Highlights by Institution: HSBC: UBS: Goldman Sachs: Conclusion: Consensus View: All three institutions agree…...

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Investment Themes

Daily Bond New Issue, April 23

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New Issue Recap Cur Issuer / Obligor Rating (M/S/F) Tenor / Maturity IPG / FPG Rank Denoms (k) Nature Price Guidance Yield (%) USD Fuzhou Digital Economy Investment Group Co., Ltd. / / 3Y / 7.00% Senior Unsecured 200 x 1 Live Deal 7.00% USD Hanwha Futureproof Corp. Aa2 / AA / 3Y CT3+130bps area…...

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Market & Trading

Credit Flow Dynamics: Powell ‘Safe’ and Tariff Tensions Thaw? Market Sentiment Swings as Trump and Bessent Offer Optimism

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Today’s Brief Overall Market Sentiment: Market sentiment generally improved following comments from President Trump clarifying his stance on Fed Chair Powell and indications of potential de-escalation in the US-China trade tensions. This risk-on mood led to tighter spreads and higher cash prices in some sectors. However, some caution remained due to existing uncertainties. The bounce…...

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Market & Trading

Daily Market Recap – April 23

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Last 1D chg YTD chg Last 1D chg YTD chg Yields and Spreads (bps) Commodity DE10Y 2.44 -2.9 7.6 Gold 3373.2 -1.17% 28.94% BP10Y 4.55 -2.1 -2.3 Silver 32.8 -0.12% 12.99% JP10Y 1.34 3 21.4 Copper 491.35 2.70% 19.62% AU10Y 4.24 -2.3 -10.2 Soybean 1043.5 0.70% 1.42% US10Y 4.34 -3.3 -19.2 Wheat 536 -0.23% -4.49%…...

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Market & Trading

Cypark’s Financial Struggles Highlight Short-Term Uncertainty

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As Malaysia’s integrated environmental and renewable energy player, Cypark Resources Berhad is currently under increasing financial pressure. While the company maintains long-term potential, its latest financial results and operational challenges reveal significant short-term risks that have raised investor concerns. Key Points: Cypark’s current financial state presents notable short-term risk. While recovery efforts are underway, investors should closely monitor progress and…...

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Market & Trading

Credit Flow Dynamics: A Snapshot of Volatility, Regional Contrasts, and Sector Shifts

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Today’s Brief Overall Market Sentiment: Market sentiment was generally volatile and weaker across various regions and sectors. This was notably influenced by renewed focus on the relationship between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Powell. Despite some pockets of resilience, particularly in LATAM IG credit, a risk-off tone prevailed, benefiting safe-haven assets like gold. Trading…...

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