Diverging expectations for the 2025 rate outlook highlight growing uncertainty, as major institutions adjust their forecasts to address persistent inflation and slowing growth. Accordingly, we have summarized the year-end terminal rate forecasts from four institutions.
Investment Themes
Navigating the Fixed Income Landscape: Strategic Insights for Q2 2025
Goldman Sachs, Northern Trust, JPMorgan, and PGIM provide a data-driven fixed income outlook, highlighting critical yield levels and credit spreads shaping investment strategies for Q2 2025. Summary This article consolidates insights from four leading institutions on fixed income market dynamics for Q2 2025. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is forecasted to stay elevated between 4.5%…...
Experts’ Insight on Treasury Bond Markets: Seeking Higher Ground
Charles Schwab advises investors to maintain a cautious stance on bond markets due to ongoing economic uncertainties and potential policy shifts. Summary Treasury yields have risen, influenced by factors such as slowing economic growth, persistent inflation, and policy uncertainties, including potential tariffs, immigration limits, and tax cuts. Real interest rates are at their highest levels…...
A Steady Approach to Interest Rates: Building a 10-Year USD Investment-Grade Bond Ladder
This strategy employs an equal allocation approach, distributing the total investment evenly across 10 individual USD-denominated investment-grade corporate bonds, each maturing in successive years from 2026 to 2035. This structure creates a 10-year bond ladder, providing regular income and mitigating interest rate risk.
Credit Rating Barbell Strategy: Striking a Balance Between Risk and Return
In our previous article, “Build a Resilient Yield: A Barbell Strategy with the Market’s Most Traded Bonds,” we discussed how the barbell strategy has demonstrated resilience and flexibility this year—striking a balance between the stability of short-term holdings and the growth potential of long-term positions. In this piece, we turn our focus to the current…...
Global Markets at a Crossroads: Cautious Optimism Amid Mixed Signals
BlackRock sees U.S. equities holding firm with strong earnings, J.P. Morgan signals rate cut delays due to persistent inflation, while Citi and T. Rowe Price spotlight diverging global growth and currency volatility. Summary Global financial markets are navigating a transitional phase, with U.S. equities outperforming expectations—S&P 500 has gained +2.1% month-to-date—while bond markets remain sensitive…...
Spotlight on a Popular Bond: MUFG 5.615% 24 Apr 2036 (USD)
Company Profile Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group is a globally systemically important bank (G-SIB) with a strong capital position, diversified business operations, and a significant international footprint. As the issuer of the MUFG 5.615% 24 Apr 2036 (USD) bond, its solid credit profile and strategic initiatives make it a reliable choice for institutional and long-term investors…....
Credit Market Update: Trade Optimism Sparks Relief, But Debt Limit Alarm & Sector Headwinds Temper Gains
Market Overview The market was busy earlier in the day before tapering off, with spreads closing slightly off their widest points. Overall sentiment remained skittish and cautious, particularly in most cyclical sectors and tariff-levered tickers. Positioning was cleaner, showing renewed buy interest in previously less favored sectors like Autos. Stocks and US Treasuries whipsawed through…...
Expert Insights: On My Mind: Schrödinger’s economy
Franklin Templeton highlights a paradox in today’s policy landscape: while uncertainty dominates the outlook, policymakers still express directional conviction. Franklin Templeton warns of deep policy uncertainty while the Fed remains cautious amid strong U.S. fundamentals Key Point Conclusion The outlook is shaped by genuine macro uncertainty, driven primarily by policy unpredictability rather than cyclical weakness…....
Spotlight on a Popular Bond: PNC 6.875% 20 Oct 2034 (USD)
Company Profile: PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. is one of the largest diversified financial institutions in the United States. Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, the company offers a comprehensive range of services, including retail banking, corporate and institutional banking, and asset management. PNC operates in 27 states and the District…...









